Market Data + Trends

As Mortgage Rates Rise, the Share of Million-Dollar Homes Is Falling

Million-dollar homes account for a smaller share of the real estate market than they did one year ago as elevated mortgage rates force sellers to slash their asking prices
March 7, 2023

After soaring to 8.6% in June 2022, the total share of million-dollar-plus homes is declining as higher mortgage rates accelerate a market correction. Just over 7% of homes in the U.S. are worth $1 million or more, and while that share is down from the 2022 peak, it’s still well above the pre-pandemic supply of million-dollar homes.

Today’s 6.6% mortgage rates mean that a buyer who made a 20% down payment on an $800,000 home would now pay $5,241 per month compared with a $5,034 monthly payment for a $1 million home at the 3.5% rates common in early 2022, Forbes reports.

The share of homes valued at seven figures is falling quickest in the Bay Area and other expensive coastal areas. Just over 80% of San Francisco homes are worth at least $1 million–the biggest share of the 99 most populous U.S. metros, but down from 86.3% a year ago.

Oakland, California, where 44.8% of homes are worth $1 million or more, down from 50% a year ago, experienced the next-biggest decline. It’s followed by Seattle (27.5%, down from 30.9%), New York (29.5%, down from 32.5%) and San Jose, California (79.2%, down from 81.7%).

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