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How Far Will Home Prices Fall This Year?—One Housing Expert Weighs In

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Market Data + Trends

How Far Will Home Prices Fall This Year?—One Housing Expert Weighs In

A housing correction is causing a much-anticipated slowdown in home price growth, but just how much damage could the Fed's rate hikes do in the for-sale market?

November 14, 2022
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Image: Stock.adobe.com

Average rates for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage dipped to 6.95% during the first week of November, but for the week ending Nov. 10,  that figure had climbed back to 7.08%, Realtor.com reports. Unless inflation cools significantly in the weeks ahead, more rate hikes from the Federal Reserve are expected, though climbing borrowing costs are causing a much-needed slowdown in home price gains.

The median list price for a typical U.S. home peaked at $450,000 in June, and has since fallen in October to $425,000. As holiday seasonality continues to slow home sales, some experts predict that median listing price growth could post only single-digit gains by the end of the year.

“The typical asking price will near but not likely slip below $400,000 again this year,” explains Hale. “The housing market is resetting, but in a slow fashion.”

And while home prices have been decreasing month to month, they’re still higher than last year. For the week ending Nov. 10, home prices rose by 11.7% compared with the same week a year earlier.

That’s the 45th week straight of double-digit growth, although the pace has at least been ebbing, which means that home shoppers might not have to contend with double-digit price hikes much longer.

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