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The US Housing Market Faces a Threefold Challenge in 2023—Here’s What’s at Stake

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Market Data + Trends

The US Housing Market Faces a Threefold Challenge in 2023—Here’s What’s at Stake

After years of volatility in an unpredictable real estate market, inventory shortages, unaffordable housing, and rising interest rates in 2023 pose ongoing challenges for buyers and sellers alike 


March 6, 2023
Aerial view of residential community of homes
Image: edb3_16 / stock.adobe.com

Home prices fell 0.24% from December to January, while the annual home price growth rate fell to 3.43% at the start of the year, but according to HousingWire, more upward pressure on 30-year rates could slow the annual home price growth rate to below 0% by March or April. Elevated mortgage rates are dampening buyer demand nationwide, but rather than listing their homes and refinancing, sellers are also pulling back from the for-sale market.

As a result, supply is dwindling, and that inventory shortage is sustaining high home prices even during a market correction.

“Today, we see buyer demand dampened under pressure from rising rates and their impact on affordability, with purchase rate-lock volumes cooling in late February,” Andy Walden, vice president of enterprise research strategy at Black Knight, said in a statement. 

“We’ve seen a consistent theme of potential sellers – many with first-lien rates a full 3 percentage points below today’s offerings – pulling back from putting their homes on the market,” Walden said.

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